BJP is projected to win 239-245 of the 403 seats, while the Samajwadi Party (SP) will finish as a distant second with 119-125 seats despite more than doubling its 2017 tally, as per the survey. The BSP is expected to lose a significant share of its votes to both SP and BJP and finish third with around 30 seats.
Congress could end up with five to eight seats, the survey shows, which is not very different from the seven it won in 2017.
Yogi Adityanath would become the first chief minister of Uttar Pradesh to serve two consecutive terms if the projections turn out to be true.
The Yogi government’s hardline approach on law and order found some strong support in the opinion poll, and to a lesser extent, for its legal route to countering ‘forced’ conversions.
The opinion was more equally divided on the Citizenship Amendment Act, with nearly half of the respondents seeing the Yogi government’s defence of it as an attempt to promote communalism.
The poll suggests that BJP’s charge of ‘Muslim appeasement’ against SP and Congress has found resonance among the respondents.
The opinion poll was conducted between November 6 and November 10 with a sample size of 9,000 respondents, with a 3% margin of error for the data and a 95% confidence interval.
(With inputs from TOI)
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