Dollar firm as inflation test looms
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SYDNEY — The dollar started the week with
support as traders bet U.S. inflation data and appearances from
several Federal Reserve officials would bolster the case for
higher interest rates.
After dipping on Friday, the greenback stood around its
200-day moving average against the euro at $1.1357 in
early Asia trade on Monday. It firmed slightly on the yen to
115.65, fairly close to last week’s five-year high of
116.35 per dollar.
Trade in the Asia session was thinned by a holiday in Japan.
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Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell and governor Lael
Brainard testify before Senate committees this week regarding
their nominations as chair and deputy chair at the Fed.
U.S. inflation figures are due on Wednesday, with headline
CPI seen climbing to a red-hot 7% year-on-year.
“The dollar index is likely to recoup some of its Friday
losses this week on Powell’s likely hawkish commentary and
rising U.S. inflation,” said Scotiabank FX strategist Qi Gao.
Eventually, though, he added that the greenback would
probably run out of steam, and the index head towards 94 once
money markets fully price in a Fed hike in March.
The dollar index last sat at 95.800.
U.S.-Russia talks over rising tension in Ukraine also have
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traders on edge as the two sides seem far apart and failure
risks an armed confrontation on Europe’s doorstep.
The Australian dollar was marginally weaker at
$0.7179 early in the Asia session and has been held below
resistance around $0.7190.
The kiwi was steady at $0.6750.
The dollar had met with some selling late last week after a
weaker-than-expected headline U.S. job-creation figure squeezed
traders out of long dollar positions.
But analysts said better-than-expected unemployment numbers
still made a good case for hikes sooner rather than later.
Fed funds futures have priced an almost 90% chance
of a rate hike in March and a more than 90% chance of another
one by June and U.S. yields have been surging higher.
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Sterling was also marginally weaker on the dollar
but has been rallying with bets that the Bank of England (BOE)
is likely to be hiking in tandem with the Fed.
It was last at $1.3590, near a two-month high, and close to
last week’s two-year peak on the euro. Strategists at
MUFG reckon traders are too hawkish on their rates expectations
in Britain but still think sterling will hold its own.
“We still expect two rate hikes by the BOE which should keep
EUR/GBP under modest downward pressure, which will result in
GBP/USD advancing to around the 1.4000 level,” they said in an
outlook note published over the weekend.
Cryptocurrencies have faced pressure from broad selling in
risk assets at the start of this year, but were steady in Asia
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after bitcoin managed to hold support at $40,000 through weekend
trade.
Bitcoin last bought $41,784 and ether
$3,145.
========================================================
Currency bid prices at 0020 GMT
Description RIC Last U.S. Close Pct Change YTD Pct High Bid Low Bid
Previous Change
Session
Euro/Dollar $1.1354 $1.1362 -0.07% -0.13% +1.1360 +1.1347
Dollar/Yen 115.6450 115.5500 +0.00% +0.46% +115.6550 +0.0000
Euro/Yen
Dollar/Swiss 0.9190 0.9185 +0.00% +0.69% +0.9192 +0.0000
Sterling/Dollar 1.3591 1.3598 -0.04% +0.50% +1.3593 +1.3585
Dollar/Canadian 1.2649 1.2648 +0.00% +0.04% +1.2656 +1.2640
Aussie/Dollar 0.7179 0.7183 -0.05% -1.24% +0.7184 +0.7173
NZ 0.6773 0.6771 +0.05% -1.03% +0.6780 +0.6769
Dollar/Dollar
All spots
Tokyo spots
Europe spots
Volatilities
Tokyo Forex market info from BOJ
(Reporting by Tom Westbrook. Editing by Lincoln Feast.)
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